BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  Strait of Hormuz
De:       Max Stubbs
Data:     Wed, 1 Apr 2026 07:03:59 -0700
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  Re: Strait of Hormuz
  By: Joseph Pereira to All on Tue Mar 31 2026 08:17 am

 > The US now seems to be abandoning th
 > demand that the Strait of Hormuz be
 > opened somewhat, thereby indicating
 > that Iran has effectively won the wa
 > Are we going to escalate now, or wil
 > Trump back down?


Trump has created a scenario in which
no matter what choice he makes,
America loses.

1) If we just leave, which is the best
case, we appear weak and feckless,
unable to project power around the
world and fulfill our agreements with
middle east allies. This has
implications on further dealins in the
middle east. Additionally all the harm
we have caused to allie in Asia and
Australia.

2) If we invade Kharg, but not greater
Iran, we put US military in a position
to get shelled and droned near
constantly without a way to open the
strait, which probably leads to

3) Invasion of Iran. War with a
near-peer on mountainous terrain in a
country bigger than Texas that has more
or less developed self-sustaining
systems and economy due to our
sanctions, with active Chinese and
Russian alliances. 

4) Wildcard: NUKES

All options bad, all result in a weaker
American hegemony and our reputation
abroad. Our best case scenario is
literally returnin to exactly how
things were before this started, but
slightly worse.

So fuckin stupid man.




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