BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook De: COD Weather Processor Data: Sat, 2 May 2026 12:18:01 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- ACUS01 KWNS 021217 SWODY1 SPC AC 021216 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0716 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FAR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are possible across southern Georgia into northern/central Florida this morning into the early evening. ...Northern/Central Florida into far southeast Georgia... Regional radar imagery shows a broad area of precipitation extending from the northeast Gulf northeastward through the Carolinas. Thunderstorms are ongoing within the southern portion of this precipitation shield, from the northeast Gulf into central and eastern FL Panhandle. This region is just downstream of a low-amplitude shortwave trough and in the vicinity of an associated surface low. Stronger ascent and modest buoyancy is favoring deeper updrafts across this region compared to areas farther north. Updrafts in this area have been fairly transient overnight and for the first few hours this morning, likely resulting from a combination of modest buoyancy, boundary-parallel deep-layer shear, and elevated storm structures. Some improvement in storm organization appears possible over the next few hours as the low-level flow strengthens and convergence near the surface low augments large-scale ascent. This better storm organization should result in stronger updrafts and longer overall updraft persistence, with an attendant increase in the risk for damaging gusts. Additionally, there is enough low-level curvature to support a brief tornado or two if surface-based storms can be realized. Surface-based storms appear most probable over the northwest FL vicinity and a small 5% tornado probability was delineated to highlight this potential. This area was also addressed in recently issued MCD #0635. ..Mosier/Dean.. 05/02/2026 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]