BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook De: COD Weather Processor Data: Sat, 2 May 2026 19:55:35 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- ACUS01 KWNS 021955 SWODY1 SPC AC 021953 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sat May 02 2026 Valid 022000Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... A few severe thunderstorms remain possible across the northern and central Florida Peninsula through early evening. ...20Z Update... The primary change to the outlook was to trim thunder and severe probabilities where storms have contributed to boundary layer stabilization, particularly over the central FL Peninsula. Category 1/Marginal risk probabilities have been maintained ahead of a broken band of storms. Here, an adequate overlap of buoyancy and deep-layer shear remains to support multicells and transient supercells capable of producing an instance or two of hail, gusty winds, or a brief tornado. ..Squitieri.. 05/02/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026/ ...Northern/Central Florida... At midday, a line of gradually intensifying storms extends northeast-southwestward across the northern Florida Peninsula to the nearby Gulf, with additional offshore development occurring about as far south as the Tampa Bay vicinity. This line will continue to move inland and further intensify as the boundary layer warms inland in conjunction with near-70F surface dewpoints. Some additional more-discrete development may occur ahead of the line, potentially focusing along the east coast. Damaging winds are the most probable severe hazard as low/mid-level winds further strengthen, albeit with a tendency for low-level veering over time. Even so, a tornado or two could occur aside from damaging winds. ...Western Oregon/northern California... Influenced by upper-jet exit region and the prominent trough off the coast of Oregon/California, a few stronger storms may develop across the region late this afternoon through early evening. While gusty winds and/or small hail could occur, the potential for organized severe storms should remain low given the modest instability and weak deep-layer shear. $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]