BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook De: COD Weather Processor Data: Sun, 24 May 2026 00:50:01 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- ACUS01 KWNS 240049 SWODY1 SPC AC 240048 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... One or two evolving clusters of thunderstorms will probably be accompanied by strong to locally severe wind gusts while spreading from the Texas Panhandle vicinity through western North Texas this evening into the overnight hours. ...01z Update... ...Southern Great Plains... Considerable thunderstorm development is generally slowly spreading eastward after initiating along the dryline, roughly from near Clovis, NM into the Midland vicinity. However, at least somewhat more prominent convective development continues to evolve farther to the north, after initiating off the higher terrain to the east of Raton and portions of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. This is appearing to be aided by stronger, albeit still modest, northwesterly shear near the southern fringe of the westerlies, within otherwise quite weak westerly ambient deep-layer mean flow around or less than 10 kt, which prevails across much of the southern Great Plains. CAPE is somewhat modest as well, generally on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg across the high plains, but the boundary-layer has become deeply mixed, with surface temperature-dew point spreads around or in excess of 30F. In the presence of the more favorable shear, the northern cluster has already generated a notable southeastward surging cold pool accompanied by strong to locally severe wind gusts. It appears that this will continue southeastward across much of the southern Texas Panhandle during the next few hours. More uncertainty exists later as it begins to interact with the convection spreading off the dryline, but at least some convection allowing guidance suggests that an outflow boundary intersection could become a focus for continuing thunderstorm development with strong to severe gusts into portions of western North Texas late this evening or overnight. ...Southeastern Louisiana coast... Low severe wind probabilities are being maintained tonight, as an outflow boundary remains a focus for thunderstorm development mostly offshore into the vicinity of southeastern coastal areas. Aided by inflow of high moisture content air supportive of moderately large CAPE, ongoing activity could still organize and intensify in the presence of modest shear and southwesterly ambient deep-layer mean flow up to around 20 kt. ..Kerr.. 05/24/2026 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]