BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok De: COD Weather Processor Data: Sun, 24 May 2026 19:23:33 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- ACUS03 KWNS 241923 SWODY3 SPC AC 241922 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms will be possible across western Texas into southeastern New Mexico Tuesday afternoon and evening. Across this region, large hail, severe gusts, and perhaps a tornado will be possible. ...Parts of west TX and southeast NM... No major changes have been made to the Slight Risk area. A broad negative-tilt mid/upper trough with multiple embedded vorticity maxima will impinge upon relatively rich moisture and moderate to locally strong buoyancy across parts of west TX and southeast NM on Tuesday. Weak capping and increasingly difluent flow aloft will likely lead to multiple rounds of thunderstorms through the day and into Tuesday night. Low-level southeasterly flow veering to modest southwesterlies aloft will result in 30-40 kt of effective shear, supporting potential for organized clusters and a few supercells. Large hail and localized severe gusts could accompany the strongest storms. Gradually increasing low-level shear/SRH could also support some tornado threat from afternoon into the evening. Convection could spread into a larger portion of south-central TX by Tuesday night, though decreasing shear and increasing low-level stability with eastward extent should lead to an eventual weakening trend. The Marginal Risk was expanded eastward somewhat to account for isolated severe potential into late evening. ...Central/western MT and adjacent parts of northern ID... Scattered thunderstorms are expected during the day/evening from parts of northern ID into western/central MT, in association with a mid/upper-level low/trough over the Pacific Northwest. Moisture and instability will likely remain modest at best, but increasing deep-layer shear could support a few strong storms, with a threat of localized severe gusts and marginally severe hail. ..Dean.. 05/24/2026 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]