BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md
De:       COD Weather Processor
Data:     Mon, 25 May 2026 01:23:06 +0000
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AWUS01 KWNH 250123
FFGMPD
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-250630-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0230
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
921 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

Areas affected...North Florida

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 250120Z - 250630Z

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to develop along a trough over
the Florida Panhandle into North Florida well into the overnight.
Rain rates of 2 to locally 3"/hr will continue with the axis
nearly stationary. Localized flash flooding is possible overnight.

DISCUSSION...As of 03Z...Scattered thunderstorms continue to
develop over the FL Panhandle with a cluster of heavy
thunderstorms near Gainesville that continue to propagate
northwest. Abundant Gulf moisture and instability streaming in on
15kt southerly low level flow will continue to converge along the
trough axis. The PW is 2.2" along this trough with SBCAPE in a
tight gradient to low over southern GA (where there was earlier
organized activity) to 2500 J/kg along the FL Panhandle shore and=20
over North FL. This will continue to support activity. Earlier
heavy rain has lowered the FFG some which will allow localized
flash flooding.

Recent HRRR runs are higher in QPF than the RRFS with signs that
the Gainesville activity should work its way toward the Big Bend.

Jackson

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov__;!!=
DZ3fjg!-Efh_Ls21fUlXmBXpher_Wht893F0JVwkO45lEwXnqPXgVUmQ01Z217okaioHo3IGhfU=
ZVvnVQmhelHrCNVlqiDCP8A$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...MOB...TAE...TBW...

ATTN...RFC...ALR...NWC...

LAT...LON   31368501 31078366 30518230 29548194 29318252=20
            29748296 30138390 30158501 30318548 30638650=20
            31268651=20

=3D =3D =3D
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