BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok De: COD Weather Processor Data: Mon, 25 May 2026 05:50:08 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- ACUS02 KWNS 250550 SWODY2 SPC AC 250548 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms will be possible across western Texas into southeastern New Mexico Tuesday afternoon and evening. Across this region, large hail, severe gusts, and perhaps a tornado will be possible. ...Synopsis... The pattern on D2/Tuesday will include a deepening mid-level low across the Pacific Northwest and height rises with a building high downstream across the central/northern US. A shortwave with multiple embedded vorticity maximas will move across Texas. This will be the focus of scattered severe thunderstorm development by the afternoon. ...Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas... As forcing for ascent increases across Texas Tuesday afternoon, widely scattered thunderstorm development is expected from the Davis Mountains to the Edwards Plateau and to the southern Permian Basin. Moderate instability and steep low to mid-level lapse rates are forecast across the region, with increasing deep layer shear to around 30-40 kts. Mode will likely include a few supercells and multi-cell clusters capable of large to very large hail and severe wind gusts. Forecast soundings indicate low-level SRH may increase through the late afternoon/evening, which could support some increase in tornado potential. Through time, cells are progged to cluster and move downstream into portions of south Texas. Should cells be able to maintain cold pool organization, damaging wind potential may extend to the southern Texas coast. The Slight Risk remains unchanged but a minor eastward expansion was given to the Marginal Risk to account for this potential. ...Montana... Scattered thunderstorm activity is expected with the upper trough across portions of southern Idaho into Montana. Modest instability and strengthening deep layer shear amid deeply mixed profiles may allow for a few stronger storms with potential for marginally severe hail and severe gusts. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2026 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]