BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md
De:       COD Weather Processor
Data:     Mon, 25 May 2026 12:46:44 +0000
-----------------------------------------------------------
AWUS01 KWNH 251246
FFGMPD
TXZ000-251645-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0233
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
845 AM EDT Mon May 25 2026

Areas affected...central TX

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 251244Z - 251645Z

SUMMARY...Isolated flash flooding will be possible across portions
of central TX with slow moving showers/thunderstorms. Hourly
rainfall of 1 to 2 inches (locally higher possible) and totals of
2 to 4+ inches are expected through 16Z to 17Z.

DISCUSSION...1220Z radar imagery showed a remnant MCV located
between Comanche and Eastland, TX with convection that continued
to regenerate over Coleman, Brown, Callahan and Eastland counties.
Elevated instability of 500-1000 J/kg was estimated via RAP
analysis data to exist within a narrow corridor just southwest of
the MCV circulation with low level southerly flow allowing the
advection of instability northward, into the western half of the
MCV circulation, helping to feed the renewed development of
thunderstorms. Flow aloft was modestly divergent and diffluent,
helping to support lift over the region. A slow westward drift of
the MCV is forecast by the RAP through 18Z which will likely
continue to support localized slow moving cores of heavy rain
(5-15 kt motions) capable of producing 1 to 2 inches of rain in an
hour (locally higher). Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4+
inches are expected through 16 to 17Z at which point, daytime
heating and deepening of the boundary layer may act to disrupt the
ongoing activity.

Otto

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov__;!!=
DZ3fjg!5xztdNf3NdPkqFbN0Pv7JvqYj3HAy7zPrQTEqT6YjuEgj_VqSP5oyE5T_q-XqyGJgK7F=
9TB22crcmUC8MINV6C-SMPw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...

ATTN...RFC...FWR...NWC...

LAT...LON   32989917 32509854 31919827 31499839 31089874=20
            31069960 31949999 32759978=20

=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
 * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)

-----------------------------------------------------------
[Voltar]