BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  HVYSNOW: Probabilistic Heavy Snow And Icing Discussion
De:       COD Weather Processor
Data:     Thu, 19 Mar 2026 19:03:29 +0000
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FOUS11 KWBC 191903
QPFHSD

Probabilistic Heavy Snow and Icing Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
303 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Valid 00Z Fri Mar 20 2026 - 00Z Mon Mar 23 2026

...Upper Great Lakes to the Northeast...
Days 1-3...

Ridge/trough upper pattern over the CONUS will continue to bring
northern stream systems through the Great Lakes into the Northeast
with minor to occasionally modest snowfall. A system over southern
Canada this evening will push through the Great Lakes tonight and
into southern/southeastern Ontario tomorrow. WAA-driven snow and
some light icing is likely over the U.P. of Michigan and into
northern Lower Michigan. As the clipper moves into the Northeast
tomorrow afternoon/evening, snow will fall mostly over the higher
elevations (above 1500ft or so) where WPC probabilities for at
least 4" are >50%, with lesser accumulations to the valley floors
(T-2"). Precipitation should end on Saturday morning.

The next system will slip into northern MN and the western Great
Lakes Saturday afternoon/evening. With a southwest-to-northeast
thermal gradient, some icing is possible once again over
northeastern MN, northern WI, and northern Lower Michigan near the
surface warm front. That system may track a bit farther south,
which could bring in at least some light to modest snow to
northeastern MN into the U.P. of Michigan. There, WPC probabilities
for at least 4 inches of snow are >40% Saturday into very early
Sunday. The system will race eastward and bring another swath of
snow to northern NYS into New England Sunday. Through 00Z/Mon, WPC
probabilities for an additional 4 inches of snow are >30% over the
higher elevations of the northern Adirondacks into the Green/White
Mountains, but the snow will continue beyond this forecast range.


The chances for significant icing across the CONUS is less than 10
percent.

Fracasso

$$

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