BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
De:       COD Weather Processor
Data:     Fri, 20 Mar 2026 07:21:09 +0000
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ACUS03 KWNS 200721
SWODY3
SPC AC 200720

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE OHIO VALLEY...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are expected on Sunday afternoon and evening
across parts of the Ohio Valley.

...Ohio Valley/Mid Mississippi Valley...
A mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move southeastward into
the upper Mississippi Valley on Sunday. Ahead of the trough, a cold
front will advance southward into the Ohio Valley. As surface
temperatures warm during the day, moderate instability is forecast
to develop across much of the Ohio Valley. Increasing low-level
convergence along the front during the afternoon will help
thunderstorms to initiate, with storms increasing in coverage in the
late afternoon and early evening. A large area of storms is expected
to form along a corridor from southern Illinois east-northeastward
into west-central Pennsylvania. Some of these storms will likely
have a severe threat.

Late afternoon forecast soundings in the Ohio Valley near
Cincinnati, Ohio have MLCAPE increasing to near 1800 J/kg with 0-6
km shear in the 45 to 50 knot range. In addition, 700-500 mb lapse
rates are forecast to be in the 7 to 7.5 C/km range. This
environment should support supercells with large hail. The greatest
hail threat may occur somewhat early in the event, when cells are
more likely be discrete. A wind-damage threat is also expected, and
could increase as storms congeal into a line during the early
evening. A more isolated severe threat could develop further to the
southwest into the mid Mississippi Valley during the late afternoon
and early evening.

..Broyles.. 03/20/2026

$$

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