BBS: TELESC.NET.BR Assunto: HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion De: COD Weather Processor Data: Mon, 23 Mar 2026 19:18:31 +0000 ----------------------------------------------------------- FOUS30 KWBC 231918 QPFERD Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 318 PM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026 Day 1 Valid 16Z Mon Mar 23 2026 - 12Z Tue Mar 24 2026 The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less than 5 percent. Santorelli Day 2 Valid 12Z Tue Mar 24 2026 - 12Z Wed Mar 25 2026 The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less than 5 percent. ...Western Washington State... A round of heavy precipitation on Tuesday looks likely with a=20 strong frontal system into the region more in the first half of the period (12z Tues to 00z Wed). Limited instability should keep rain rates in check, and lower snow levels may allow for more=20 precipitation to fall as snow. So, while this area will continue to be monitored, no Marginal Risk ERO is needed still at this time. ...Northeast Florida... A nearly stationary front near the coast of St. Augustine/Daytona=20 Beach may support slow moving convection forming over/near I-95 in that area. Any storms that form will be capable of producing heavy rain but very dry soils and generally flat, flood- averse drainage basins should limit the overall risk. Still, any stationary storms that do form over this semi- urban area for an extended period=20 could result in localized flooding/ponding, so will need to=20 monitor for a possible Marginal Risk upgrade. Santorelli Day 3 Valid 12Z Wed Mar 25 2026 - 12Z Thu Mar 26 2026 The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less than 5 percent. Santorelli Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go= v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_Qc9kkadMdQCRsW8APwOFHSjezb9aW4CFrsKdWNJzKVT= IEXHXj4ZJoRqq2EDQ8vi0YBL7hga8ZTElsILokbrKRqSegY$=20 Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go= v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_Qc9kkadMdQCRsW8APwOFHSjezb9aW4CFrsKdWNJzKVT= IEXHXj4ZJoRqq2EDQ8vi0YBL7hga8ZTElsILokbrwBfvOb8$=20 Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go= v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_Qc9kkadMdQCRsW8APwOFHSjezb9aW4CFrsKdWNJzKVT= IEXHXj4ZJoRqq2EDQ8vi0YBL7hga8ZTElsILokbrWdB39IM$=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107) ----------------------------------------------------------- [Voltar]