BBS:      TELESC.NET.BR
Assunto:  DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
De:       COD Weather Processor
Data:     Tue, 24 Mar 2026 08:44:10 +0000
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ACUS48 KWNS 240844
SWOD48
SPC AC 240842

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Widespread severe thunderstorm potential appears limited through the
remainder of March amid persistent upper-level ridging across the
central and western CONUS. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may
materialize across portions of the TN Valley and Mid-Atlantic on
D4/Friday as a strong cold front pushes east/southeast towards the
East Coast and northern Gulf. However, limited mid-level lapse rates
across the southeastern U.S. will likely modulate the potential for
severe thunderstorms. Surface high pressure building across the
eastern Plains and OH Valley in the wake of the cold front -
combined with the re-amplification of the upper ridge over the
western U.S. - will further limit severe thunderstorm potential for
much of the weekend and very early next week.

A gradual eastward translation of the surface high will likely
promote the initial stages of moisture into the central U.S. around
the D7/Mon or D8/Tues time frame. Most deterministic solutions and
ensemble systems hint at an upper-level regime shift as the upper
ridge shifts east and southwesterly flow becomes more prominent over
the Southwest. This may support some increase in severe weather
potential by the middle of next week, and possibly as early
D8/Tuesday, but predictability at this range appears very limited.

..Moore.. 03/24/2026

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